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Tuesday, December 07, 2004

Week 14 Computer Picks

This is based on the Stat Power Index (see button on the left). I don't like how the Seahawks are still sitting relatively pretty. But they are so injured now and those injuries haven't made their way through the stats. Could they be better than we think right now? I doubt it.

And, no, I'm not cooking the books for the Jets. They are solid across the board. What can I say? They'll cover against Pittsburgh this week, as the Steelers are begging to get beat by refusing to throw, which is their strength. The running game of the Steelers is middling at best at 4.0 per carry.

Denver is a championship-caliber team except for interception net, which I think illustrates very nicely the importance of that stat.

Following are all the picks with actual lines in parens:


Jags by 7.5 over the Bears (+7.5)

Patriots by 9 over the Bengals (+11)

Bills by 5.5 over the Browns (NL because of all the Cleveland chaos that the computer doesn't factor in)

Packers by 8 over the Lions (+9.5)

Colts by 4 over the Texans (+10.5, as the computer can't compute Peyton)

Dallas by 7.5 over the Saints (+7)

Ravens by 9 over the Giants (+9.5)

Falcons by 11.5 over the Raiders (+7.5)

Vikings pick 'em against Seattle (+5.5)

Broncos by 13 over Dolphins (+11)

Steelers by 3 over the Jets (+5.5)

Cardinals by 5 over the Niners (+6)

Panthers by 6 over the Rams (NL and the computer line is w/Bulger)

Chargers by 5.5 over the Bucs (+5.5)

Eagles by 1 over the Redskins (+9.5, the Index/computer hates the Eagles inablity to keep the clock moving and proficiency in committing penalties)

Titans by 3 over the Chiefs (NL)
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